ATP tennis predict — Evan Zhu vs Aleksi Lofman

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 00:25

Predicted probability

Evan Zhu

USA

95.03%

Aleksi Lofman

Finland

4.97%

Average Odds

1.08 / 6.79

Market probability

86.28% / 13.72%

Why This Prediction?

Evan Zhu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1560 vs 1369), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1570 vs 1363) and more career match wins (74 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1559.6 Elo 1369.1

1569.8 Elo (surface) 1362.6

74 Wins (Challenger) 0

61 Wins (surface) 0

10 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.041 Dominance ratio 0.471

513 Rank -

28.1 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Aleksi Lofman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Aleksi Lofman

1st Serve In %

58.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.34

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

56.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%

14.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%

32.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Aleksi Lofman

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

42.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

27.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Evan Zhu 0 – 0 Aleksi Lofman

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - 1. round

Evan Zhu #513

Aleksi Lofman #-

6-1 7-5

2 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 23

8 Second Serve Won 16

6 Break Points Saved 1

10 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.8

Evan Zhu vs Aleksi Lofman — Prediction