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Evan King vs Andrew Fenty — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Evan King

USA

43.64%

Andrew Fenty

USA

56.36%

Average Odds

3.74  /  1.24

Market probability

24.90%  /  75.10%

Why This Prediction?

Andrew Fenty is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1550 vs 1467), a higher Elo rating (1531 vs 1463) and a stronger serve (63.7% vs 57.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1463.1 Elo 1530.8
1467.3 Elo (surface) 1549.7
85 Wins (Challenger) 25
72 Wins (surface) 24
4 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.752 Dominance ratio 0.943
- Rank 394
34.4 Age 26.4
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Evan King

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Andrew Fenty

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan King Andrew Fenty

1st Serve In %

63.8%
61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%
63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%
53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.3%
24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.1%
45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.62
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.4%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%
56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%
25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%
52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan King Andrew Fenty

Break Points Saved %

73.9%
58.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.1%
34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.5%
65.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Evan King 00 Andrew Fenty

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Andrew Fenty #394

Evan King #-

6-1 6-4
- Aces -
- Double Faults -
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
- First Serve Won -
- Second Serve Won -
- Break Points Saved -
- Break Points Faced -
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Evan King — Last 10

L W L L L W L L L L

Andrew Fenty — Last 10

L W L L W W L W L W