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Ethan Cook vs Jesse Flores — Prediction

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Ethan Cook

Australia

71.95%

Jesse Flores

Costa Rica

28.05%

Average Odds

2.23  /  1.59

Market probability

41.62%  /  58.38%

Why This Prediction?

Ethan Cook is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (33.1% vs 30.5% of return points won), more aces per game (0.39 vs 0.16) and a stronger serve (60.7% vs 57.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1322.3 Elo 1331.7
1360.4 Elo (surface) 1373.0
4 Wins (Challenger) 5
4 Wins (surface) 4
4 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.843 Dominance ratio 0.724
1311 Rank 857
23.5 Age 31.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ethan Cook

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Jesse Flores

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ethan Cook Jesse Flores

1st Serve In %

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%
67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%
65.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.4%
47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.6%
24.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%
49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.69
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ethan Cook Jesse Flores

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.3%
63.5%

Break Points Converted %

52.8%
30.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ethan Cook 00 Jesse Flores

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Ethan Cook #1311

Jesse Flores #857

6-6
3 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 4
52 Service Points 38
31 First Serve In 27
18 First Serve Won 16
13 Second Serve Won 6
7 Break Points Saved 2
8 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Ethan Cook — Last 10

L L W L L W W L L L

Jesse Flores — Last 10

L W L L W L W L L L