ATP tennis predict — Erik Arutiunian vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · qualification - round of 16 07:05

Predicted probability

Erik Arutiunian

Belarus

51.48%

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Malaysia

48.52%

Average Odds

1.64 / 2.14

Market probability

56.61% / 43.39%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1497.1 Elo 1488.3

1509.1 Elo (surface) 1516.9

14 Wins (Challenger) 29

14 Wins (surface) 29

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.014 Dominance ratio 1.052

621 Rank 544

21.8 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Erik Arutiunian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Erik Arutiunian Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

1st Serve In %

53.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

50.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

26.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.29

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Erik Arutiunian Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

46.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Erik Arutiunian 0 – 0 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Erik Arutiunian #621

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong #544

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 2

73 Service Points 52

40 First Serve In 36

26 First Serve Won 26

16 Second Serve Won 11

7 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Erik Arutiunian vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong — Prediction