ATP tennis predict — Erik Arutiunian vs Masamichi Imamura

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · R16 08:10

Predicted probability

Erik Arutiunian

Belarus

55.74%

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

44.26%

Average Odds

2.14 / 1.65

Market probability

43.54% / 56.46%

Why This Prediction?

Erik Arutiunian is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (63.8% vs 59.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1554.7 Elo 1556.8

1567.6 Elo (surface) 1585.0

16 Wins (Challenger) 48

16 Wins (surface) 48

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.018 Dominance ratio 0.951

621 Rank 415

21.8 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Erik Arutiunian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Masamichi Imamura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Erik Arutiunian Masamichi Imamura

1st Serve In %

53.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

50.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

26.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Erik Arutiunian Masamichi Imamura

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

51.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Erik Arutiunian 0 – 0 Masamichi Imamura

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-13

R16

Masamichi Imamura #415

Erik Arutiunian #621

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 1

58 Service Points 57

27 First Serve In 35

18 First Serve Won 26

15 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Erik Arutiunian vs Masamichi Imamura — Prediction