ATP tennis predict — Eric Vanshelboim vs Calvin Hemery

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Eric Vanshelboim

Ukraine

32.49%

Calvin Hemery

France

67.51%

Average Odds

2.56 / 1.42

Market probability

35.68% / 64.32%

Why This Prediction?

Calvin Hemery is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1615 vs 1426), a higher Elo rating (1600 vs 1454) and more wins on clay courts (144 vs 19).

Player Comparison

1453.8 Elo 1600.5

1426.2 Elo (surface) 1615.1

31 Wins (Challenger) 226

19 Wins (surface) 144

4 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.028 Dominance ratio 0.922

426 Rank 328

25.1 Age 31.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eric Vanshelboim

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-10.

Calvin Hemery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eric Vanshelboim Calvin Hemery

1st Serve In %

70.6%

66.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

37.5%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

30.0%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

10.0%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.4%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.6%

35.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eric Vanshelboim Calvin Hemery

Break Points Saved %

0.0%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.6%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

44.0%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eric Vanshelboim 0 – 0 Calvin Hemery

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Calvin Hemery #328

Eric Vanshelboim #426

3-6 6-0 6-2

1 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 2

74 Service Points 80

66 First Serve In 53

31 First Serve Won 36

4 Second Serve Won 12

8 Break Points Saved 6

14 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Eric Vanshelboim vs Calvin Hemery — Prediction