ATP tennis predict — Ergi Kirkin vs Kacper Szymkowiak

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Ergi Kirkin

Turkey

87.50%

Kacper Szymkowiak

Poland

12.50%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.19

Market probability

57.48% / 42.52%

Why This Prediction?

Ergi Kirkin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1491 vs 1395), more career match wins (91 vs 0) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1490.6 Elo 1394.9

1489.8 Elo (surface) 1438.0

91 Wins (Challenger) 0

31 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.004 Dominance ratio 1.130

595 Rank 948

27.5 Age 21.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ergi Kirkin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Kacper Szymkowiak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ergi Kirkin Kacper Szymkowiak

1st Serve In %

58.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.25

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.3%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.1%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ergi Kirkin Kacper Szymkowiak

Break Points Saved %

60.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.0%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ergi Kirkin 0 – 0 Kacper Szymkowiak

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Ergi Kirkin #595

Kacper Szymkowiak #948

6-4 7-6

2 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 6

73 Service Points 68

35 First Serve In 31

27 First Serve Won 24

21 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Ergi Kirkin vs Kacper Szymkowiak — Prediction