ATP tennis predict — Enzo Aguiard vs Hayato Matsuoka

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 1. round 08:50

Predicted probability

Enzo Aguiard

Australia

36.19%

Hayato Matsuoka

Japan

63.81%

Average Odds

2.90 / 1.37

Market probability

32.08% / 67.92%

Why This Prediction?

Hayato Matsuoka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1665 vs 1538), a higher Elo rating (1652 vs 1534) and more wins on hard courts (43 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1533.6 Elo 1651.5

1538.2 Elo (surface) 1664.8

8 Wins (Challenger) 44

8 Wins (surface) 43

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.985 Dominance ratio 0.889

513 Rank 255

24.1 Age 21.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Enzo Aguiard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Hayato Matsuoka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enzo Aguiard Hayato Matsuoka

1st Serve In %

—

1st Serve Points Won %

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

Aces per Service Game

—

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

43.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enzo Aguiard Hayato Matsuoka

Break Points Saved %

—

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.7%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Enzo Aguiard 0 – 0 Hayato Matsuoka

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Enzo Aguiard #513

Hayato Matsuoka #255

6-3 6-4

7 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

59 Service Points 55

40 First Serve In 36

31 First Serve Won 26

10 Second Serve Won 6

4 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Enzo Aguiard vs Hayato Matsuoka — Prediction