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Enrico Dalla Valle vs Stefano Travaglia — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.94  /  1.79

Market probability

47.99%  /  52.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1707.3 Elo 1706.9
1701.4 Elo (surface) 1678.8
120 Wins (Challenger) 267
95 Wins (surface) 189
9 Last 15 form 7
3 Head-to-head wins 0
1.024 Dominance ratio 1.008
333 Rank 147
28.5 Age 34.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Enrico Dalla Valle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Stefano Travaglia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enrico Dalla Valle Stefano Travaglia

1st Serve In %

60.4%
56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%
70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%
53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%
25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.6%
50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.8%
56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%
64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%
47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%
28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%
55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enrico Dalla Valle Stefano Travaglia

Break Points Saved %

53.8%
61.4%

Break Points Converted %

12.5%
38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%
50.7%

Break Points Converted %

57.5%
37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Enrico Dalla Valle 30 Stefano Travaglia

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-10
3 Aces 7
3 Double Faults 2
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
45 First Serve Won 35
19 Second Serve Won 18
5 Break Points Saved 4
7 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.8
Clay Milan challenger · 2026-06-30
7-6 6-1
3 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 4
59 Service Points 53
44 First Serve In 27
32 First Serve Won 15
8 Second Serve Won 14
2 Break Points Saved 2
3 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.8
Clay Amersfoort CH · 2024-07-15
5 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 2
54 Service Points 58
35 First Serve In 41
24 First Serve Won 20
10 Second Serve Won 6
0 Break Points Saved 4
2 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Zadar CH · 2024-03-18
2 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 1
44 Service Points 65
28 First Serve In 38
18 First Serve Won 20
10 Second Serve Won 8
3 Break Points Saved 6
5 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Enrico Dalla Valle — Last 10

L L L W W L W L L W

Stefano Travaglia — Last 10

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