ATP tennis predict — Enrico Dalla Valle vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · QF 10:00

Predicted probability

Enrico Dalla Valle

Italy

60.97%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

39.03%

Average Odds

1.29 / 3.27

Market probability

71.71% / 28.29%

Why This Prediction?

Enrico Dalla Valle is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1720 vs 1634), a stronger serve (67.3% vs 56.7% of service points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.19).

Player Comparison

1720.4 Elo 1633.7

1714.3 Elo (surface) 1638.7

123 Wins (Challenger) 18

98 Wins (surface) 18

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.024 Dominance ratio 0.960

320 Rank 426

28.5 Age 21.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Enrico Dalla Valle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enrico Dalla Valle Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

1st Serve In %

60.4%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

58.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.6%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

56.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

61.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

40.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enrico Dalla Valle Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

12.5%

75.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

47.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

46.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Enrico Dalla Valle and Juan Cruz Martin Manzano have never played each other.

Enrico Dalla Valle vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Prediction