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Enrico Dalla Valle vs Francesco Passaro — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · QF 19:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.18  /  1.62

Market probability

42.63%  /  57.37%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Passaro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1755 vs 1721), more career match wins (46 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1722 vs 1712).

Player Comparison

1721.0 Elo 1755.4
1712.2 Elo (surface) 1722.1
125 Wins (Challenger) 124
100 Wins (surface) 106
8 Last 15 form 7
3 Head-to-head wins 0
1.024 Dominance ratio 0.746
319 Rank 229
28.6 Age 25.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Enrico Dalla Valle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–5L · 61.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Francesco Passaro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enrico Dalla Valle Francesco Passaro

1st Serve In %

60.4%
60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%
71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%
49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%
32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.6%
49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.7%
61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.8%
69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

61.1%
46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%
25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

85.0%
33.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enrico Dalla Valle Francesco Passaro

Break Points Saved %

53.8%
57.9%

Break Points Converted %

12.5%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.7%
64.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.9%
45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Enrico Dalla Valle 3 – 0 Francesco Passaro

Clay Milan challenger · 2026-07-01
1 Aces 4
3 Double Faults 1
54 Service Points 45
40 First Serve In 29
24 First Serve Won 24
8 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 0
5 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.0 Average Odds 1.7
Clay Trieste CH · 2024-07-08
4 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 5
39 Service Points 66
29 First Serve In 37
25 First Serve Won 17
4 Second Serve Won 15
3 Break Points Saved 6
4 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Cordenons CH · 2023-08-07
6-1 6-7(3) 6-1
1 Aces 0
5 Double Faults 5
85 Service Points 98
54 First Serve In 66
37 First Serve Won 34
18 Second Serve Won 17
1 Break Points Saved 8
2 Break Points Faced 15
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Enrico Dalla Valle — Last 10

W W L W W L L L W W

Francesco Passaro — Last 10

W W L L W L W W W L