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Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.39  /  2.81

Market probability

66.90%  /  33.10%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1708.7 Elo 1662.2
1697.5 Elo (surface) 1676.7
125 Wins (Challenger) 35
100 Wins (surface) 34
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 1
1.024 Dominance ratio 1.058
319 Rank 333
28.6 Age 21.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Enrico Dalla Valle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–5L · 61.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

36 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Federico Bondioli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enrico Dalla Valle Federico Bondioli

1st Serve In %

60.4%
69.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%
63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%
42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%
28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.6%
41.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—
62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Enrico Dalla Valle Federico Bondioli

Break Points Saved %

53.8%
54.2%

Break Points Converted %

12.5%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.2%
60.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Enrico Dalla Valle 0 – 1 Federico Bondioli

Clay Vicenza CH · 2025-05-26
6-7(4) 6-2 6-2
2 Aces 9
0 Double Faults 4
94 Service Points 85
66 First Serve In 55
45 First Serve Won 35
17 Second Serve Won 14
4 Break Points Saved 5
6 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Enrico Dalla Valle — Last 10

L W W L W W L L L W

Federico Bondioli — Last 10

L L W W W W L W W L