ATP tennis predict — Emirhan Bulut vs Samir Hamza Reguig

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round 09:00

Predicted probability

Emirhan Bulut

Turkey

16.36%

Samir Hamza Reguig

Algeria

83.64%

Average Odds

6.21 / 1.09

Market probability

14.93% / 85.07%

Why This Prediction?

Samir Hamza Reguig is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1572 vs 1500), better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1500 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1500 Elo 1572.0

1500 Elo (surface) 1500.4

0 Wins (Challenger) 7

0 Wins (surface) 4

0 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.870 Dominance ratio 0.870

1580 Rank 682

None Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Emirhan Bulut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-08.

Samir Hamza Reguig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Emirhan Bulut Samir Hamza Reguig

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

57.4%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

65.2%

43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

50.0%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.51

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Emirhan Bulut Samir Hamza Reguig

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Emirhan Bulut 0 – 0 Samir Hamza Reguig

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Samir Hamza Reguig #682

Emirhan Bulut #1580

6-4 6-2

1 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 1

62 Service Points 54

44 First Serve In 31

22 First Serve Won 24

9 Second Serve Won 15

8 Break Points Saved 3

12 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.2

Emirhan Bulut vs Samir Hamza Reguig — Prediction