ATP tennis predict — Emilien Demanet vs Alexander Vasilev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Emilien Demanet

Belgium

46.86%

Alexander Vasilev

Bulgaria

53.14%

Average Odds

2.08 / 1.68

Market probability

44.68% / 55.32%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1499.1 Elo 1524.2

1511.9 Elo (surface) 1547.0

6 Wins (Challenger) 7

6 Wins (surface) 6

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.059 Dominance ratio 0.913

647 Rank 564

21.3 Age 19.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Emilien Demanet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Alexander Vasilev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Emilien Demanet Alexander Vasilev

1st Serve In %

60.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

61.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.18

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.58

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Emilien Demanet Alexander Vasilev

Break Points Saved %

77.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

22.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

51.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Emilien Demanet 0 – 0 Alexander Vasilev

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-03

1. round

Emilien Demanet #658

Alexander Vasilev #567

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 7

67 Service Points 78

36 First Serve In 50

23 First Serve Won 35

20 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 11

3 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Emilien Demanet vs Alexander Vasilev — Prediction