ATP tennis predict — Elmer Moller vs Carlos Taberner

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · QF 16:00

Predicted probability

Elmer Moller

Denmark

62.56%

Carlos Taberner

Spain

37.44%

Average Odds

1.54 / 2.37

Market probability

60.61% / 39.39%

Why This Prediction?

Elmer Moller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1476), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1718 vs 1713) and more aces per game (0.11 vs 0.08).

Player Comparison

1707.3 Elo 1475.6

1718.3 Elo (surface) 1712.7

88 Wins (Challenger) 254

74 Wins (surface) 238

8 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.250 Dominance ratio 1.247

184 Rank 409

23.1 Age 29.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Elmer Moller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Carlos Taberner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Elmer Moller Carlos Taberner

1st Serve In %

59.3%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.1%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Elmer Moller Carlos Taberner

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

47.0%

Break Points Converted %

29.5%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

36.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Elmer Moller 1 – 0 Carlos Taberner

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-07

QF

Elmer Moller #184

Carlos Taberner #409

7-6 7-5

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 4

74 Service Points 89

49 First Serve In 48

37 First Serve Won 34

9 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 10

7 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Augsburg CH · 2024-05-20

QF

Elmer Moller #293

Carlos Taberner #313

6-4 4-6 6-4

1 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 6

125 Service Points 102

91 First Serve In 57

56 First Serve Won 31

10 Second Serve Won 21

13 Break Points Saved 7

19 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Elmer Moller vs Carlos Taberner — Prediction