ATP tennis predict — Elmer Moller vs Anton Matusevich

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Elmer Moller

Denmark

63.80%

Anton Matusevich

Great Britain

36.20%

Average Odds

1.77 / 1.95

Market probability

52.42% / 47.58%

Why This Prediction?

Elmer Moller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1684 vs 1607), a stronger return game (44.0% vs 32.8% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1528 vs 1489).

Player Comparison

1684.3 Elo 1607.2

1527.6 Elo (surface) 1489.4

90 Wins (Challenger) 33

15 Wins (surface) 9

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.071 Dominance ratio 0.816

172 Rank 357

23.1 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Elmer Moller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Anton Matusevich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Elmer Moller Anton Matusevich

1st Serve In %

59.3%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.1%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Elmer Moller Anton Matusevich

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

29.5%

39.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

50.8%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Elmer Moller 0 – 0 Anton Matusevich

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Anton Matusevich #357

Elmer Moller #172

6-1 6-3

2 Aces 7

5 Double Faults 1

46 Service Points 40

20 First Serve In 30

13 First Serve Won 27

9 Second Serve Won 5

0 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Elmer Moller vs Anton Matusevich — Prediction