ATP tennis predict — Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Elias Ymer

Sweden

20.93%

Terence Atmane

France

79.07%

Average Odds

3.99 / 1.22

Market probability

23.42% / 76.58%

Why This Prediction?

Terence Atmane is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1855 vs 1630), a higher Elo rating (1874 vs 1671) and a stronger serve (64.5% vs 62.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1671.2 Elo 1874.0

1630.3 Elo (surface) 1854.6

234 Wins (Challenger) 94

91 Wins (surface) 67

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.956 Dominance ratio 0.909

192 Rank 99

30.5 Age 24.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Elias Ymer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Terence Atmane

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Elias Ymer Terence Atmane

1st Serve In %

60.0%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

76.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

21.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.71

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Elias Ymer Terence Atmane

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

68.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Elias Ymer 0 – 0 Terence Atmane

Hard Jingshan challenger · 2026-09-30

1. round

Elias Ymer #192

Terence Atmane #99

4-6 7-5 5-5

4 Aces 12

0 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

48 First Serve Won 45

19 Second Serve Won 21

5 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.0 Average Odds 1.2

Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane — Prediction