ATP tennis predict — Eli Stephenson vs Trevor Svajda

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Eli Stephenson

USA

9.30%

Trevor Svajda

USA

90.70%

Average Odds

12.69 / 1.03

Market probability

7.51% / 92.49%

Why This Prediction?

Trevor Svajda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1519 vs 1435), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1494 vs 1432) and better recent form (7 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1435.5 Elo 1519.1

1431.8 Elo (surface) 1494.1

0 Wins (Challenger) 19

0 Wins (surface) 19

0 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.756 Dominance ratio 0.933

1755 Rank 436

None Age 20.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eli Stephenson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eli Stephenson Trevor Svajda

1st Serve In %

—

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eli Stephenson Trevor Svajda

Break Points Saved %

—

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

29.4%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eli Stephenson 0 – 0 Trevor Svajda

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Trevor Svajda #436

Eli Stephenson #1755

6-2 6-1

0 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 47

42 First Serve In 24

26 First Serve Won 21

3 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 12.7

Eli Stephenson vs Trevor Svajda — Prediction