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Egor Pleshivtsev vs Erik Arutiunian — Prediction

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 09:15

Predicted probability

Egor Pleshivtsev

Russia

15.68%

Erik Arutiunian

Belarus

84.32%

Average Odds

2.25  /  1.58

Market probability

41.25%  /  58.75%

Why This Prediction?

Erik Arutiunian is the favorite because he has better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more career match wins (13 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1500 Elo 1463.0
1500 Elo (surface) 1475.7
0 Wins (Challenger) 13
0 Wins (surface) 13
0 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.109 Dominance ratio 1.109
918 Rank 621
None Age 21.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Egor Pleshivtsev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Erik Arutiunian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Egor Pleshivtsev Erik Arutiunian

1st Serve In %

53.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

50.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%
56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%
67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%
54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

50.0%
27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.2%
46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Egor Pleshivtsev Erik Arutiunian

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
52.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Egor Pleshivtsev 00 Erik Arutiunian

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Erik Arutiunian #621

Egor Pleshivtsev #918

6-3 6-3
1 Aces 5
2 Double Faults 3
66 Service Points 56
32 First Serve In 34
16 First Serve Won 25
20 Second Serve Won 12
4 Break Points Saved 2
8 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Egor Pleshivtsev — Last 1

L

Erik Arutiunian — Last 10

L W W L W W L W W W