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Egor Agafonov vs Maxim Zhukov — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 07:45

Predicted probability

Egor Agafonov

Russia

52.34%

Maxim Zhukov

Russia

47.66%

Average Odds

2.08  /  1.68

Market probability

44.68%  /  55.32%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1359.0 Elo 1367.8
1384.9 Elo (surface) 1362.2
19 Wins (Challenger) 16
19 Wins (surface) 16
4 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.835 Dominance ratio 0.812
987 Rank 726
24.1 Age 21.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Egor Agafonov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Maxim Zhukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Egor Agafonov Maxim Zhukov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.2%
58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%
62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%
46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%
48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.49
0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42
0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Egor Agafonov Maxim Zhukov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%
48.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.0%
37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Egor Agafonov and Maxim Zhukov have never played each other.

Egor Agafonov — Last 10

L L L W L W L L L L

Maxim Zhukov — Last 10

L L L L L L L W L W