ATP tennis predict — Eero Vasa vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Eero Vasa

Finland

19.99%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

80.01%

Average Odds

4.26 / 1.20

Market probability

21.98% / 78.02%

Why This Prediction?

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1634 vs 1452), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1657 vs 1472) and more wins on clay courts (126 vs 16).

Player Comparison

1451.9 Elo 1634.4

1472.1 Elo (surface) 1656.8

21 Wins (Challenger) 129

16 Wins (surface) 126

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.962 Dominance ratio 0.979

486 Rank 214

29.5 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eero Vasa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eero Vasa Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

1st Serve In %

63.6%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.3%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.9%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.2%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

39.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eero Vasa Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.8%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.1%

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

51.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eero Vasa 0 – 0 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Eero Vasa #486

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #214

7-6 4-6 6-0

1 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 0

97 Service Points 102

69 First Serve In 71

46 First Serve Won 51

9 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 13

9 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.3 Average Odds 1.2

Eero Vasa vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Prediction