ATP tennis predict — Edward Winter vs Moise Kouame

ATP Hard Los Cabos · 1. round

Predicted probability

Edward Winter

Australia

58.07%

Moise Kouame

France

41.93%

Average Odds

3.03 / 1.38

Market probability

31.29% / 68.71%

Why This Prediction?

Edward Winter is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1592 vs 1539), a stronger serve (67.2% vs 64.4% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (34 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1562.1 Elo 1555.9

1592.3 Elo (surface) 1539.3

3 Wins 5

3 Wins (surface) 3

3 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.693 Dominance ratio 0.838

391 Rank 213

21.9 Age 17.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Moise Kouame

1st Serve In %

63.8%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Moise Kouame

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

62.8%

Break Points Converted %

25.9%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edward Winter 0 – 0 Moise Kouame

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-29

1. round

Edward Winter #391

Moise Kouame #213

6-1 6-4

2 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 4

57 Service Points 62

31 First Serve In 39

19 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 6

16 Winners 10

48 Unforced Errors 27

3.0 Average Odds 1.4

Edward Winter vs Moise Kouame — Prediction