ATP tennis predict — Edward Winter vs Joshua Sheehy

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Edward Winter

Australia

83.59%

Joshua Sheehy

USA

16.41%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.24

Market probability

60.22% / 39.78%

Why This Prediction?

Edward Winter is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1642 vs 1396), a higher Elo rating (1597 vs 1436) and a stronger serve (66.1% vs 55.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1597.3 Elo 1436.4

1641.5 Elo (surface) 1395.6

35 Wins (Challenger) 28

33 Wins (surface) 21

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.155 Dominance ratio 0.805

385 Rank 665

21.8 Age 29.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Joshua Sheehy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Joshua Sheehy

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Joshua Sheehy

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

24.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edward Winter 0 – 0 Joshua Sheehy

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Edward Winter #400

Joshua Sheehy #654

4-6 6-3 6-0

0 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 8

74 Service Points 76

45 First Serve In 43

35 First Serve Won 27

18 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.2

Edward Winter vs Joshua Sheehy — Prediction