ATP tennis predict — Edward Winter vs John Chin

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 02:35

Predicted probability

Edward Winter

Australia

92.36%

John Chin

Jamaica

7.64%

Average Odds

1.04 / 17.15

Market probability

94.28% / 5.72%

Why This Prediction?

Edward Winter is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1642 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1618 vs 1500) and more career match wins (40 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1618.0 Elo 1500

1642.1 Elo (surface) 1500

40 Wins (Challenger) 0

38 Wins (surface) 0

10 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.311 Dominance ratio 1.311

355 Rank -

21.9 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

John Chin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter John Chin

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

77.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

66.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

61.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.06

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter John Chin

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

81.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edward Winter 0 – 0 John Chin

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Edward Winter #355

John Chin #-

6-1 6-1

1 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 0

46 Service Points 40

24 First Serve In 39

8 First Serve Won 25

6 Second Serve Won 6

5 Break Points Saved 1

11 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 17.1

Edward Winter vs John Chin — Prediction