ATP tennis predict — Edward Winter vs Gavin Young

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Edward Winter

Australia

80.26%

Gavin Young

USA

19.74%

Average Odds

1.93 / 1.78

Market probability

47.98% / 52.02%

Why This Prediction?

Edward Winter is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1617 vs 1506), a higher Elo rating (1587 vs 1493) and more career match wins (37 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1586.8 Elo 1493.0

1617.2 Elo (surface) 1506.3

37 Wins (Challenger) 2

35 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.366 Dominance ratio 0.769

348 Rank 552

21.9 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Gavin Young

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Gavin Young

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Gavin Young

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edward Winter 0 – 0 Gavin Young

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Edward Winter #348

Gavin Young #552

6-2 6-2

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Edward Winter vs Gavin Young — Prediction