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Edward Winter vs Dominick Mosejczuk — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Edward Winter

Australia

87.05%

Dominick Mosejczuk

USA

12.95%

Average Odds

1.20  /  4.02

Market probability

77.01%  /  22.99%

Why This Prediction?

Edward Winter is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1602 vs 1501), more career match wins (36 vs 1) and a higher Elo rating (1570 vs 1496).

Player Comparison

1570.0 Elo 1495.6
1601.5 Elo (surface) 1500.6
36 Wins (Challenger) 1
34 Wins (surface) 1
8 Last 15 form 1
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.319 Dominance ratio 1.092
348 Rank 1081
21.9 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dominick Mosejczuk

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Dominick Mosejczuk

1st Serve In %

63.8%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.16
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%
60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%
43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%
27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%
55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.09
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Dominick Mosejczuk

Break Points Saved %

58.8%
—

Break Points Converted %

25.9%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%
77.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edward Winter 1 – 0 Dominick Mosejczuk

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Edward Winter #348

Dominick Mosejczuk #1081

6-3 7-6
3 Aces 6
0 Double Faults 4
88 Service Points 81
59 First Serve In 52
43 First Serve Won 36
13 Second Serve Won 10
10 Break Points Saved 9
12 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.0
Hard Winston Salem CH · 2025-09-08

Q2

Edward Winter #530

Dominick Mosejczuk

7-6(6) 6-3
2 Aces 4
2 Double Faults 2
66 Service Points 86
49 First Serve In 49
38 First Serve Won 34
9 Second Serve Won 16
1 Break Points Saved 8
2 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Edward Winter — Last 10

L L L W L W W L W W

Dominick Mosejczuk — Last 3

L L W