ATP tennis predict — Edward Winter vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Edward Winter

Australia

68.60%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

31.40%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.59

Market probability

41.73% / 58.27%

Why This Prediction?

Edward Winter is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1615 vs 1571), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1624 vs 1568) and a stronger return game (44.5% vs 36.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1615.4 Elo 1571.1

1624.4 Elo (surface) 1568.4

41 Wins (Challenger) 71

39 Wins (surface) 36

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.217 Dominance ratio 0.876

355 Rank 256

21.9 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

63.8%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

25.9%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

45.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edward Winter 0 – 0 Andres Andrade

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

1. round

Andres Andrade #243

Edward Winter #342

6-4 7-6

3 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 4

68 Service Points 73

39 First Serve In 42

20 First Serve Won 29

15 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Edward Winter vs Andres Andrade — Prediction