ATP tennis predict — Edward Winter vs Aidan Kim

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Edward Winter

Australia

67.48%

Aidan Kim

USA

32.52%

Average Odds

1.98 / 1.74

Market probability

46.77% / 53.23%

Why This Prediction?

Edward Winter is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1627 vs 1525), a higher Elo rating (1602 vs 1518) and a stronger return game (44.2% vs 31.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1602.1 Elo 1518.4

1626.8 Elo (surface) 1525.3

39 Wins (Challenger) 8

37 Wins (surface) 8

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.294 Dominance ratio 0.831

355 Rank 574

21.9 Age 21.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Aidan Kim

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Aidan Kim

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.16

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

54.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edward Winter Aidan Kim

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edward Winter 0 – 0 Aidan Kim

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Edward Winter #355

Aidan Kim #574

6-3 6-2

0 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 6

50 Service Points 57

27 First Serve In 31

23 First Serve Won 21

15 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 7

1 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Edward Winter vs Aidan Kim — Prediction