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Eduardo Ribeiro vs Pedro Sakamoto — Prediction

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · 1. round 19:30

Predicted probability

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

49.63%

Pedro Sakamoto

Brazil

50.37%

Average Odds

-  /  -

Market probability

-  /  -

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1578.8 Elo 1524.9
1583.5 Elo (surface) 1534.2
55 Wins (Challenger) 145
52 Wins (surface) 136
7 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.992 Dominance ratio 0.991
340 Rank 526
28.5 Age 33.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Pedro Sakamoto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Pedro Sakamoto

1st Serve In %

66.7%
63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%
62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.5%
49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%
29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%
50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.06
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.7%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%
68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.4%
46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.4%
34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.0%
52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Pedro Sakamoto

Break Points Saved %

68.4%
54.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%
36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.9%
64.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.4%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eduardo Ribeiro and Pedro Sakamoto have never played each other.

Eduardo Ribeiro — Last 10

L W W L W W L L L W

Pedro Sakamoto — Last 10

W W L L L W W L L L