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Eduardo Ribeiro vs Nicolas Barrientos — Prediction

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

65.33%

Nicolas Barrientos

Colombia

34.67%

Average Odds

1.36  /  2.74

Market probability

66.83%  /  33.17%

Why This Prediction?

Eduardo Ribeiro is the favorite because he has fewer double faults per game (0.16 vs 0.21).

Player Comparison

1505.7 Elo 1505.0
1522.1 Elo (surface) 1524.4
51 Wins (Challenger) 99
48 Wins (surface) 66
6 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.826 Dominance ratio 1.083
364 Rank 944
28.4 Age 39.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Nicolas Barrientos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Nicolas Barrientos

1st Serve In %

66.7%
65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%
63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.5%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%
28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%
53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.06
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.5%
64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%
66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%
58.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%
31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.5%
54.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Nicolas Barrientos

Break Points Saved %

68.4%
53.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%
34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.6%
60.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%
45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eduardo Ribeiro 00 Nicolas Barrientos

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Eduardo Ribeiro #373

Nicolas Barrientos #953

6-2 6-2
2 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 2
31 Service Points 42
30 First Serve In 41
24 First Serve Won 22
11 Second Serve Won 6
1 Break Points Saved 3
1 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Eduardo Ribeiro — Last 10

W L W W L L L W L L

Nicolas Barrientos — Last 10

L L W L W L L W W W