ATP tennis predict — Eduardo Ribeiro vs Max Alcala Gurri

Challenger Clay Hamburg challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

21.50%

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

78.50%

Average Odds

4.39 / 1.18

Market probability

21.18% / 78.82%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1714 vs 1522), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1734 vs 1540) and a stronger return game (45.6% vs 34.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1522.3 Elo 1714.4

1540.1 Elo (surface) 1734.4

50 Wins (Challenger) 53

47 Wins (surface) 53

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.770 Dominance ratio 1.241

372 Rank 171

28.4 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Max Alcala Gurri

1st Serve In %

66.7%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

52.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.5%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.06

0.52

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.5%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.5%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Max Alcala Gurri

Break Points Saved %

68.4%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.6%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eduardo Ribeiro 0 – 0 Max Alcala Gurri

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-10

1. round

Eduardo Ribeiro #372

Max Alcala Gurri #171

6-4 6-4

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.4 Average Odds 1.2

Eduardo Ribeiro vs Max Alcala Gurri — Prediction