ATP tennis predict — Eduardo Ribeiro vs Lautaro Midon

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · QF 18:00

Predicted probability

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

25.61%

Lautaro Midon

Argentina

74.39%

Average Odds

2.66 / 1.43

Market probability

34.96% / 65.04%

Why This Prediction?

Lautaro Midon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1777 vs 1608), a higher Elo rating (1759 vs 1599) and more wins on clay courts (5 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1599.5 Elo 1758.9

1608.1 Elo (surface) 1777.0

57 Wins (Challenger) 79

54 Wins (surface) 70

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.992 Dominance ratio 0.938

346 Rank 206

28.6 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Lautaro Midon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Lautaro Midon

1st Serve In %

66.7%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.5%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.06

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.4%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

59.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.6%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.0%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

35.8%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Lautaro Midon

Break Points Saved %

68.4%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.8%

51.1%

Break Points Converted %

24.7%

49.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eduardo Ribeiro and Lautaro Midon have never played each other.

Eduardo Ribeiro vs Lautaro Midon — Prediction