ATP tennis predict — Eduardo Ribeiro vs Jelle Sels

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

53.84%

Jelle Sels

Netherlands

46.16%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.41

Market probability

72.71% / 27.29%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1523.7 Elo 1566.6

1540.8 Elo (surface) 1525.6

52 Wins (Challenger) 159

49 Wins (surface) 88

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.936 Dominance ratio 0.733

373 Rank 546

28.5 Age 31.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Jelle Sels

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Jelle Sels

1st Serve In %

66.7%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.5%

39.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

20.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.06

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.5%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

59.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.5%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Jelle Sels

Break Points Saved %

68.4%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

15.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.6%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eduardo Ribeiro 0 – 0 Jelle Sels

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Eduardo Ribeiro #373

Jelle Sels #546

3-6 7-5 7-5

4 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 4

104 Service Points 108

70 First Serve In 70

49 First Serve Won 43

18 Second Serve Won 25

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Eduardo Ribeiro vs Jelle Sels — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Eduardo Ribeiro — Last 10

Jelle Sels — Last 10