← Back to Predictions

Eduardo Ribeiro vs Andrew Paulson — Prediction

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

62.39%

Andrew Paulson

Czech Republic

37.61%

Average Odds

1.67  /  2.14

Market probability

56.17%  /  43.83%

Why This Prediction?

Eduardo Ribeiro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1531 vs 1405), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1550 vs 1411) and more wins on clay courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1531.3 Elo 1405.1
1549.8 Elo (surface) 1411.2
51 Wins (Challenger) 53
48 Wins (surface) 37
7 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.737 Dominance ratio 0.900
372 Rank 612
28.4 Age 24.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Andrew Paulson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Andrew Paulson

1st Serve In %

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.06

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.5%
60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%
72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%
46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%
30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.5%
53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Eduardo Ribeiro Andrew Paulson

Break Points Saved %

68.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.6%
53.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%
41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Eduardo Ribeiro and Andrew Paulson have never played each other.

Eduardo Ribeiro — Last 10

W L W W L L L W L L

Andrew Paulson — Last 10

L W L W L L L L L W