ATP tennis predict — Edas Butvilas vs Tristan Boyer

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

29.17%

Tristan Boyer

USA

70.83%

Average Odds

2.43 / 1.51

Market probability

38.32% / 61.68%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Boyer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1758 vs 1457), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1580 vs 1544) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1457.1 Elo 1758.1

1544.5 Elo (surface) 1580.4

79 Wins (Challenger) 86

58 Wins (surface) 30

8 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.131 Dominance ratio 1.040

268 Rank 168

22.0 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Tristan Boyer

1st Serve In %

62.3%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Tristan Boyer

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edas Butvilas 1 – 0 Tristan Boyer

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Edas Butvilas #268

Tristan Boyer #168

6-3 3-6 6-3

4 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 6

81 Service Points 73

47 First Serve In 42

31 First Serve Won 31

21 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Hard Charleston CH · 2024-09-23

SF

Edas Butvilas #365

Tristan Boyer #231

6-4 6-3

3 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 77

34 First Serve In 47

26 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 13

6 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Edas Butvilas vs Tristan Boyer — Prediction