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Edas Butvilas vs Remy Bertola — Prediction

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · R16 16:05

Predicted probability

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

55.38%

Remy Bertola

Switzerland

44.62%

Average Odds

1.49  /  2.50

Market probability

62.66%  /  37.34%

Why This Prediction?

Edas Butvilas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1665 vs 1571), a stronger return game (36.6% vs 34.7% of return points won) and a lighter recent match load (17 vs 32 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1596.8 Elo 1647.2
1664.7 Elo (surface) 1570.6
86 Wins (Challenger) 102
65 Wins (surface) 48
10 Last 15 form 9
1 Head-to-head wins 1
0.890 Dominance ratio 0.983
195 Rank 174
22.1 Age 28.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Remy Bertola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Remy Bertola

1st Serve In %

62.3%
55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%
75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%
50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%
29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%
72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%
49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Remy Bertola

Break Points Saved %

51.6%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%
49.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edas Butvilas 11 Remy Bertola

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-03
6-3 6-7 6-3
3 Aces 2
6 Double Faults 4
104 Service Points 80
68 First Serve In 47
51 First Serve Won 30
16 Second Serve Won 18
2 Break Points Saved 1
5 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.5
Hard Lugano CH · 2025-02-24
2-6 7-5 7-6(4)
8 Aces 6
5 Double Faults 3
99 Service Points 94
61 First Serve In 58
46 First Serve Won 44
23 Second Serve Won 23
5 Break Points Saved 2
7 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Fairfield CH · 2024-10-07
6-3 6-2
5 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 3
76 Service Points 61
44 First Serve In 42
32 First Serve Won 23
14 Second Serve Won 8
9 Break Points Saved 6
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Edas Butvilas — Last 10

W L W W L W W L W W

Remy Bertola — Last 10

L L W L W W L L L L