ATP tennis predict — Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

80.61%

Michael Geerts

Belgium

19.39%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

Edas Butvilas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1750 vs 1585), a higher Elo rating (1740 vs 1570) and more wins on hard courts (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1740.2 Elo 1569.6

1750.5 Elo (surface) 1585.1

90 Wins (Challenger) 154

69 Wins (surface) 102

11 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 1

0.881 Dominance ratio 0.898

203 Rank 344

22.2 Age 31.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–7L · 46.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Michael Geerts

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Michael Geerts

1st Serve In %

62.3%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.5%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Michael Geerts

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.1%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.0%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edas Butvilas 1 – 1 Michael Geerts

Hard New Delhi CH · 2026-02-16

R32

Michael Geerts #299

Edas Butvilas #254

6-3 7-5

1 Aces 6

4 Double Faults 3

60 Service Points 60

38 First Serve In 46

31 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 6

4 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Manacor CH · 2025-08-26

R32

Edas Butvilas #249

Michael Geerts #311

6-3 6-2

3 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 3

57 Service Points 47

38 First Serve In 25

27 First Serve Won 13

11 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 9