ATP tennis predict — Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

59.46%

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

40.54%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.42

Market probability

61.42% / 38.58%

Why This Prediction?

Edas Butvilas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1754 vs 1705), a higher Elo rating (1747 vs 1696) and a stronger serve (64.4% vs 57.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1747.4 Elo 1696.4

1754.2 Elo (surface) 1705.5

92 Wins (Challenger) 92

71 Wins (surface) 41

10 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.881 Dominance ratio 1.037

199 Rank 280

22.2 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–7L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Max Hans Rehberg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Max Hans Rehberg

1st Serve In %

62.3%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.3%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.4%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

33.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Max Hans Rehberg

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

47.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%

42.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

51.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edas Butvilas 1 – 0 Max Hans Rehberg

Clay Shymkent 2 CH · 2026-04-27

QF

Edas Butvilas #261

Max Hans Rehberg #641

7-5 2-6 6-3

1 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 2

88 Service Points 81

47 First Serve In 56

33 First Serve Won 35

23 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg — Prediction