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Edas Butvilas vs Harold Mayot — Prediction

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

50.32%

Harold Mayot

France

49.68%

Average Odds

1.66  /  2.08

Market probability

55.61%  /  44.39%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1755.0 Elo 1768.4
1768.4 Elo (surface) 1768.9
90 Wins (Challenger) 140
69 Wins (surface) 93
11 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 1
0.881 Dominance ratio 1.099
198 Rank 237
22.2 Age 24.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Harold Mayot

1st Serve In %

62.3%
63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%
70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%
45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%
27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%
40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%
76.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%
41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%
68.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Harold Mayot

Break Points Saved %

51.6%
64.1%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%
35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%
67.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%
39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edas Butvilas 0 – 1 Harold Mayot

Clay Murcia CH · 2025-03-17

R32

Harold Mayot #132

Edas Butvilas #201

6-4 4-6 7-5
2 Aces 4
0 Double Faults 2
88 Service Points 95
52 First Serve In 50
36 First Serve Won 31
19 Second Serve Won 23
0 Break Points Saved 4
4 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Edas Butvilas — Last 10

W L W W L W W L W W

Harold Mayot — Last 10

W L W W W W L W W W