ATP tennis predict — Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovic

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · SF 21:00

Predicted probability

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

47.10%

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

52.90%

Average Odds

1.79 / 1.94

Market probability

52.01% / 47.99%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1525.4 Elo 1674.7

1601.5 Elo (surface) 1665.9

82 Wins (Challenger) 149

61 Wins (surface) 34

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.962 Dominance ratio 0.979

268 Rank 149

22.0 Age 36.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Dusan Lajovic

1st Serve In %

62.3%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Dusan Lajovic

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%

28.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edas Butvilas 0 – 0 Dusan Lajovic

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-08

SF

Edas Butvilas #268

Dusan Lajovic #149

6-2 6-7 6-2

9 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 7

89 Service Points 92

57 First Serve In 60

45 First Serve Won 37

19 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 8

3 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovic — Prediction