ATP tennis predict — Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

49.01%

Daniel Milavsky

USA

50.99%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.59

Market probability

64.11% / 35.89%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1590.0 Elo 1669.7

1667.8 Elo (surface) 1599.1

85 Wins (Challenger) 30

64 Wins (surface) 25

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.963 Dominance ratio 0.937

268 Rank 306

22.1 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Daniel Milavsky

1st Serve In %

62.3%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.1%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Edas Butvilas Daniel Milavsky

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Edas Butvilas 0 – 0 Daniel Milavsky

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-13

R16

Daniel Milavsky #306

Edas Butvilas #268

7-6 7-5

6 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

79 Service Points 101

49 First Serve In 55

33 First Serve Won 33

13 Second Serve Won 25

2 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky — Prediction