ATP tennis predict — Dylan Dietrich vs Tomas Barrios Vera

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Dylan Dietrich

Switzerland

45.53%

Tomas Barrios Vera

Chile

54.47%

Average Odds

1.81 / 1.93

Market probability

51.60% / 48.40%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1572.9 Elo 1687.1

1619.1 Elo (surface) 1690.9

11 Wins (Challenger) 249

4 Wins (surface) 205

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 1.075

556 Rank 139

21.8 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dylan Dietrich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dylan Dietrich Tomas Barrios Vera

1st Serve In %

62.4%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.4%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.7%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.2%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dylan Dietrich Tomas Barrios Vera

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dylan Dietrich 0 – 0 Tomas Barrios Vera

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Dylan Dietrich #556

Tomas Barrios Vera #139

6-4 4-6 6-1

17 Aces 2

7 Double Faults 1

76 Service Points 93

41 First Serve In 70

36 First Serve Won 39

19 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Dylan Dietrich vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Prediction