ATP tennis predict — Dylan Dietrich vs Max Alcala Gurri

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Dylan Dietrich

Switzerland

41.65%

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

58.35%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.30

Market probability

59.43% / 40.57%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1741 vs 1616), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1760 vs 1670) and more wins on clay courts (53 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1615.8 Elo 1741.4

1670.1 Elo (surface) 1759.8

12 Wins (Challenger) 53

5 Wins (surface) 53

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.123 Dominance ratio 1.140

556 Rank 181

21.8 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dylan Dietrich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dylan Dietrich Max Alcala Gurri

1st Serve In %

62.4%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.4%

52.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.7%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.52

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.2%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dylan Dietrich Max Alcala Gurri

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dylan Dietrich 0 – 0 Max Alcala Gurri

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-23

R16

Dylan Dietrich #556

Max Alcala Gurri #181

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 10

2 Double Faults 0

58 Service Points 48

38 First Serve In 26

24 First Serve Won 21

7 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Dylan Dietrich vs Max Alcala Gurri — Prediction