ATP tennis predict — Dusan Obradovic vs Thomas Faurel

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · QF 11:00

Predicted probability

Dusan Obradovic

Serbia

34.98%

Thomas Faurel

France

65.02%

Average Odds

3.28 / 1.31

Market probability

28.54% / 71.46%

Why This Prediction?

Thomas Faurel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1512 vs 1426), a higher Elo rating (1508 vs 1445) and more wins on clay courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1444.6 Elo 1507.7

1425.7 Elo (surface) 1511.7

6 Wins (Challenger) 25

6 Wins (surface) 22

4 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.768 Dominance ratio 0.824

496 Rank 351

25.4 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dusan Obradovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Thomas Faurel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Obradovic Thomas Faurel

1st Serve In %

—

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.9%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.7%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Obradovic Thomas Faurel

Break Points Saved %

—

69.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

56.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dusan Obradovic 0 – 0 Thomas Faurel

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Dusan Obradovic #496

Thomas Faurel #351

6-4 7-6

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

67 Service Points 58

38 First Serve In 35

21 First Serve Won 21

18 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.3 Average Odds 1.3

Dusan Obradovic vs Thomas Faurel — Prediction