ATP tennis predict — Dusan Obradovic vs Adrian Andreev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Dusan Obradovic

Serbia

33.27%

Adrian Andreev

Bulgaria

66.73%

Average Odds

2.56 / 1.46

Market probability

36.32% / 63.68%

Why This Prediction?

Adrian Andreev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1630 vs 1452), a higher Elo rating (1582 vs 1477) and more wins on clay courts (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1477.4 Elo 1582.1

1452.0 Elo (surface) 1630.3

8 Wins (Challenger) 117

8 Wins (surface) 76

5 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.840 Dominance ratio 0.918

457 Rank 819

25.5 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dusan Obradovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Adrian Andreev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Obradovic Adrian Andreev

1st Serve In %

—

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.9%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.7%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Obradovic Adrian Andreev

Break Points Saved %

—

44.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dusan Obradovic 0 – 0 Adrian Andreev

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Adrian Andreev #819

Dusan Obradovic #457

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

20 First Serve Won 28

14 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Dusan Obradovic vs Adrian Andreev — Prediction