ATP tennis predict — Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Daniel

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · qualification - quarterfinal 18:30

Predicted probability

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

40.12%

Taro Daniel

Japan

59.88%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.10

Market probability

55.70% / 44.30%

Why This Prediction?

Taro Daniel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1765 vs 1672), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1684 vs 1652) and more wins on hard courts (117 vs 35).

Player Comparison

1672.0 Elo 1765.4

1651.9 Elo (surface) 1684.3

150 Wins (Challenger) 241

35 Wins (surface) 117

9 Last 15 form 13

4 Head-to-head wins 1

0.992 Dominance ratio 0.946

146 Rank 186

36.1 Age 33.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Taro Daniel

1st Serve In %

67.5%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.5%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Taro Daniel

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

28.1%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

54.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dusan Lajovic 4 – 1 Taro Daniel

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - quarterfinal

Taro Daniel #186

Dusan Lajovic #146

7-6 2-6 6-1

14 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 4

82 Service Points 99

48 First Serve In 59

36 First Serve Won 38

17 Second Serve Won 23

3 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Clay Belgrade · 2022-04-18

R32

Taro Daniel #104

Dusan Lajovic #78

2-6 6-1 7-6(2)

1 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 1

98 Service Points 105

64 First Serve In 71

43 First Serve Won 38

16 Second Serve Won 21

8 Break Points Saved 12

12 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2019-03-04

R128

Dusan Lajovic #45

Taro Daniel #71

7-6(6) 6-4

4 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

79 Service Points 84

56 First Serve In 59

33 First Serve Won 37

14 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Shanghai Masters · 2017-10-09

Q1

Dusan Lajovic #73

Taro Daniel #116

6-1 6-7(5) 6-2

6 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 1

75 Service Points 85

51 First Serve In 50

39 First Serve Won 32

18 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Seoul CH · 2013-10-28

R16

Dusan Lajovic #134

Taro Daniel #249

6-2 6-4

5 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 1

57 Service Points 59

33 First Serve In 43

27 First Serve Won 24

12 Second Serve Won 7

2 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay San Benedetto CH · 2013-07-08

R32

Dusan Lajovic #117

Taro Daniel #261

4-6 7-6(5) 6-2

10 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

97 Service Points 93

43 First Serve In 58

33 First Serve Won 39

30 Second Serve Won 20

5 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Daniel — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Dusan Lajovic — Last 10

Taro Daniel — Last 10