ATP tennis predict — Dusan Lajovic vs Martin Landaluce

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · 1. round 20:15

Predicted probability

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

29.65%

Martin Landaluce

Spain

70.35%

Average Odds

2.12 / 1.66

Market probability

43.92% / 56.08%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Landaluce is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1684 vs 1675), a stronger return game (43.3% vs 36.2% of return points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1675.2 Elo 1684.2

1676.5 Elo (surface) 1631.5

150 Wins (Challenger) 73

114 Wins (surface) 25

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.946 Dominance ratio 1.220

167 Rank 65

36.2 Age 20.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Martin Landaluce

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Martin Landaluce

1st Serve In %

67.5%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.5%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.57

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Martin Landaluce

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

68.7%

Break Points Converted %

28.1%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

47.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dusan Lajovic 0 – 1 Martin Landaluce

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Dusan Lajovic #167

Martin Landaluce #65

6-0 6-4

6 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 5

51 Service Points 49

35 First Serve In 30

26 First Serve Won 18

8 Second Serve Won 4

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Hard Olbia CH · 2025-10-13

QF

Martin Landaluce #110

Dusan Lajovic #121

6-3 6-1

2 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 4

60 Service Points 61

46 First Serve In 39

30 First Serve Won 23

8 Second Serve Won 4

5 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dusan Lajovic vs Martin Landaluce — Prediction