ATP tennis predict — Dusan Lajovic vs Diego Dedura Palomero

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

30.97%

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

69.03%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.33

Market probability

60.05% / 39.95%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (40.6% vs 37.8% of return points won), fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.14) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1787 vs 1781).

Player Comparison

1806.2 Elo 1768.5

1780.6 Elo (surface) 1786.6

154 Wins (Challenger) 46

118 Wins (surface) 42

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.061 Dominance ratio 1.018

149 Rank 188

36.2 Age 18.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Diego Dedura Palomero

1st Serve In %

67.5%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.5%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

37.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.05

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Diego Dedura Palomero

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

28.1%

28.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dusan Lajovic 0 – 0 Diego Dedura Palomero

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Diego Dedura Palomero #188

Dusan Lajovic #149

5-1

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

4 First Serve Won 9

3 Second Serve Won 3

1 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Dusan Lajovic vs Diego Dedura Palomero — Prediction