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Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi — Prediction

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 19:50

Predicted probability

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

44.61%

Benjamin Bonzi

France

55.39%

Average Odds

2.52  /  1.49

Market probability

37.16%  /  62.84%

Why This Prediction?

Benjamin Bonzi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1781 vs 1663), a stronger return game (39.0% vs 33.4% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (139 vs 34).

Player Comparison

1663.2 Elo 1781.0
1652.1 Elo (surface) 1528.2
321 Wins 99
142 Wins (surface) 59
7 Last 15 form 8
2 Head-to-head wins 1
0.942 Dominance ratio 1.117
149 Rank 103
36.1 Age 30.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Benjamin Bonzi

1st Serve In %

67.5%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%
48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.5%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%
53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%
63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%
49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%
28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Benjamin Bonzi

Break Points Saved %

60.8%
55.4%

Break Points Converted %

28.1%
38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%
63.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%
37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dusan Lajovic 2 – 1 Benjamin Bonzi

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-11

qualification - 1. round

Dusan Lajovic #149

Benjamin Bonzi #103

2-6 7-6 7-6
7 Aces 11
5 Double Faults 5
109 Service Points 106
75 First Serve In 65
59 First Serve Won 51
15 Second Serve Won 24
4 Break Points Saved 6
7 Break Points Faced 7
23 Winners 26
44 Unforced Errors 47
2.5 Average Odds 1.5
Hard Paris Masters · 2023-10-30

R64

Dusan Lajovic #48

Benjamin Bonzi #77

7-5 6-3
6 Aces 8
1 Double Faults 2
72 Service Points 65
48 First Serve In 36
35 First Serve Won 24
11 Second Serve Won 11
5 Break Points Saved 4
7 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Le Gosier CH · 2018-03-26

R32

Dusan Lajovic #108

Benjamin Bonzi #192

6-3 6-3
0 Aces 4
0 Double Faults 3
51 Service Points 52
35 First Serve In 30
24 First Serve Won 17
10 Second Serve Won 6
3 Break Points Saved 1
5 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Bordeaux CH · 2017-05-15

QF

Benjamin Bonzi #306

Dusan Lajovic #79

6-1 6-1
1 Aces 0
3 Double Faults 0
41 Service Points 50
28 First Serve In 33
23 First Serve Won 16
7 Second Serve Won 6
3 Break Points Saved 3
3 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Dusan Lajovic — Last 10

L L W W W W L W W L

Benjamin Bonzi — Last 10

L W W L W W W W L W