ATP tennis predict — Dusan Lajovic vs Alexander Rozin

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · qualification - round of 16 20:00

Predicted probability

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

78.80%

Alexander Rozin

Canada

21.20%

Average Odds

1.24 / 3.62

Market probability

74.49% / 25.51%

Why This Prediction?

Dusan Lajovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1668 vs 1474), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1645 vs 1477) and more career match wins (149 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1668.0 Elo 1474.2

1645.4 Elo (surface) 1477.3

149 Wins (Challenger) 2

34 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.954 Dominance ratio 1.094

146 Rank 1070

36.1 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Alexander Rozin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Alexander Rozin

1st Serve In %

67.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.45

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dusan Lajovic Alexander Rozin

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

28.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

62.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dusan Lajovic 0 – 0 Alexander Rozin

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Dusan Lajovic #146

Alexander Rozin #1070

6-2 6-4

7 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 2

54 Service Points 62

41 First Serve In 40

33 First Serve Won 24

6 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.6

Dusan Lajovic vs Alexander Rozin — Prediction